Populationforecast 2017-2040 [BEEPROG]
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Information

Unit
Persons
Contact
Lars Pedersen, LARP@stat.gl
Latest update
5/15/2017
Update frequency
årligt
Next update
9/16/2017
Creation date
1/11/2012
Source
Statistics Greenland
Matrix
BEXPROG
PxWebAboutTableFootnotes

Footnotes

See footnotes for description of assumptions
version
2015
August 16th 2016. We have a problem with base data for the 2015-projections. Please use the 2016 version
version
2012
Assumptions
Fertility

Total fertility rate: 2,269 (2,305 for women born in Greenland)
The total fertility rate is expected to fall to 2,187 (2,273 for women born in Greenland) over 10 years, then the level Assumed to remain constant.



Mortality Mortality is calculated based on experience in the following years: 2007,2008,2009,2010,2011
expectancy men: 68.3 (67.1 - born in Greenland)
expectancy women: 73.0 (72.7 - born in Greenland)
Mortality Level is expected to Fall steadily over the next 25 years.
To:
Life expectancy men: 73.0 (72.0 - born in Greenland)
expectancy women: 77.6 (77.3 - born in Greenland)

wanderings

Number year: 10 (2002,2003,2004,2005,2006,2007,2008,2009,2010,2011)
Number of immigrants in total: 22113: Men: 12095: Women: 10018
Number emigrated total: 25799: Men: 13885: Women: 11914
Number of net migrants in total: -3686: Men: -1790: Women: -1896
Number of net migrants per year: -368.60: Men: -179.00: Women: -189.6
2013
Assumptions
Fertility

Total fertility rate: 2,203 (2,228 for women born in Greenland)
The total fertility rate is expected to fall to 2,103 (2,124 for women born in Greenland) over 10 years, then the level Assumed to remain constant.



Mortality Mortality is calculated based on experience in the following years: 2008,2009,2010,2011,2012
expectancy men: 68.6 (67.5 - born in Greenland)
expectancy women: 73.1 (72.9 - born in Greenland)
Mortality Level is expected to Fall steadily over the next 25 years.
To:
Life expectancy men: 73.0 (72.0 - born in Greenland)
expectancy women: 77.6 (77.3 - born in Greenland)

wanderings

Number year: 10 (2003,2004,2005,2006,2007,2008,2009,2010,2011,2012)
Number of immigrants in total: 22240: Men: 12154: Women: 10086
Number emigrated total: 26313: Men: 14168: Women: 12145
Number of net migrants in total: -4073: Men: -2014: Women: -2059
Number of net migrants per year: -407: Men: -201 : Women: -206
2014
Assumptions
Fertility

Total fertility rate: 2,164 (2,228 for women born in Greenland)
The total fertility rate is expected to fall to 2,103 (2,124 for women born in Greenland) over 10 years, then the level Assumed to remain constant.



Mortality Mortality is calculated based on experience in the following years: 2008,2009,2010,2011,2012
expectancy men: 68.6 (67.5 - born in Greenland)
expectancy women: 73.1 (72.9 - born in Greenland)
Mortality Level is expected to Fall steadily over the next 25 years.
To:
Life expectancy men: 73.0 (72.0 - born in Greenland)
expectancy women: 77.6 (77.3 - born in Greenland)

wanderings

Number year: 10 (2003,2004,2005,2006,2007,2008,2009,2010,2011,2012)
Number of immigrants in total: 22240: Men: 12154: Women: 10086
Number emigrated total: 26313: Men: 14168: Women: 12145
Number of net migrants in total: -4073: Men: -2014: Women: -2059
Number of net migrants per year: -407: Men: -201 : Women: -206
2015
Assumptions
Fertility

Total fertility rate: 2,091 (2,120 for women born in Greenland)
The total fertility rate is expected to fall to 1,998 (2,024 for women born in Greenland) over 10 years, then the level Assumed to remain constant.



Mortality Mortality is calculated based on experience in the following years: 2010,2011,2012,2013,2014
expectancy men: 69.07 (67.83 - born in Greenland)
expectancy women: 74.23 (72.97 - born in Greenland)
Mortality Level is expected to Fall steadily over the next 25 years.
To:
Life expectancy men: 74.23 (72.97 - born in Greenland)
expectancy women: 78.23 (78.02 - born in Greenland)

wanderings

Number year:10 (2005,2006,2007,2008,2009,2010,2011,2012,2013,2014)
2015
Population:
Number of immigrants in total:23601:Men:13184:Women:10417
Number of emmigrants in total:28147:Men:15463:Women:12684
Number of netmigrants in total:-4546:Men:-2279:Women:-2267
Average nettoindvandrede pr år:-454,60:Mænd:-227,90:Kvinder:-226,70
2015
Født i Grønland:
Antal indvandrede ialt:9424:Mænd:4480:Kvinder:4944
Antal udvandrede ialt:13755:Mænd:6553:Kvinder:7202
Antal nettoindvandrede ialt:-4331:Mænd:-2073:Kvinder:-2258
Gennemsnitligt antal nettoindvandrede pr år:-433,10:Mænd:-207,30:Kvinder:-225,80
2016
Assumptions
Fertility
2016
Total fertility rate: 2,064 (2,108 for women born in Greenland)
The total fertility rate is expected to rise to 2,133 (2,178 for women born in Greenland) over 10 years, then the level Assumed to remain constant.
2016
Dødelighed
Dødelighed beregnes udfra erfaringer i følgende år:
2016

Mortality Mortality is calculated based on experience in the following years: 2011,2012,2013,2014,2015
2016
Life expectancy men: 69.80 (68.66 - born in Greenland)
Life expectancy women: 74.18 (73.77 - born in Greenland)
2016
Mortality Level is expected to fall steadily over the next 25 years.
To:
Life expectancy men: 74.78 (73.71 - born in Greenland)
Life expectancy women: 78.77 (78.42 - born in Greenland)
2016

Migrations
2016
Number of years:10 (2006,2007,2008,2009,2010,2011,2012,2013,2014,2015)
2016
All population:
Number of immigrants in total:23273:Men:12978:Women:10295
Number of emmigrants in total:27876:Men:15155:Women:12721
Number of netmigrants in total:-4603:Men:-2177:Women:-2426
Average annual netmigrants:-460,30:Men:-217,70:Women:-242,60
2016
Born in Greenland:
Number of immigrants in total:9671:Men:4613:Women:5058
Number of emmigrants in total:14069:Men:6574:Women:7395
Number of netmigrants in total:-4398:Men:-2061:Women:-2337
Average annual netmigrants:-439,80:Men:-206,10:Women:-233,70