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Populationforecast 2017-2040 [BEEPROG]

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About table

Contact

Lars Pedersen, LARP@stat.gl

Latest update

5/15/2017

Unit

Persons

Update frequency

årligt

Next update

9/16/2017

Creation date

1/11/2012

Yes

Source

Statistics Greenland

Matrix

BEXPROG

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version

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gender

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age

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place of birth

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time Mandatory

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version

2015

August 16th 2016. We have a problem with base data for the 2015-projections. Please use the 2016 version

Footnotes

See footnotes for description of assumptions

version

2012

Assumptions
Fertility

Total fertility rate: 2,269 (2,305 for women born in Greenland)
The total fertility rate is expected to fall to 2,187 (2,273 for women born in Greenland) over 10 years, then the level Assumed to remain constant.

Mortality Mortality is calculated based on experience in the following years: 2007,2008,2009,2010,2011
expectancy men: 68.3 (67.1 - born in Greenland)
expectancy women: 73.0 (72.7 - born in Greenland)
Mortality Level is expected to Fall steadily over the next 25 years.
To:
Life expectancy men: 73.0 (72.0 - born in Greenland)
expectancy women: 77.6 (77.3 - born in Greenland)

wanderings

Number year: 10 (2002,2003,2004,2005,2006,2007,2008,2009,2010,2011)
Number of immigrants in total: 22113: Men: 12095: Women: 10018
Number emigrated total: 25799: Men: 13885: Women: 11914
Number of net migrants in total: -3686: Men: -1790: Women: -1896
Number of net migrants per year: -368.60: Men: -179.00: Women: -189.6

2013

Assumptions
Fertility

Total fertility rate: 2,203 (2,228 for women born in Greenland)
The total fertility rate is expected to fall to 2,103 (2,124 for women born in Greenland) over 10 years, then the level Assumed to remain constant.

Mortality Mortality is calculated based on experience in the following years: 2008,2009,2010,2011,2012
expectancy men: 68.6 (67.5 - born in Greenland)
expectancy women: 73.1 (72.9 - born in Greenland)
Mortality Level is expected to Fall steadily over the next 25 years.
To:
Life expectancy men: 73.0 (72.0 - born in Greenland)
expectancy women: 77.6 (77.3 - born in Greenland)

wanderings

Number year: 10 (2003,2004,2005,2006,2007,2008,2009,2010,2011,2012)
Number of immigrants in total: 22240: Men: 12154: Women: 10086
Number emigrated total: 26313: Men: 14168: Women: 12145
Number of net migrants in total: -4073: Men: -2014: Women: -2059
Number of net migrants per year: -407: Men: -201 : Women: -206

2014

Assumptions
Fertility

Total fertility rate: 2,164 (2,228 for women born in Greenland)
The total fertility rate is expected to fall to 2,103 (2,124 for women born in Greenland) over 10 years, then the level Assumed to remain constant.

Mortality Mortality is calculated based on experience in the following years: 2008,2009,2010,2011,2012
expectancy men: 68.6 (67.5 - born in Greenland)
expectancy women: 73.1 (72.9 - born in Greenland)
Mortality Level is expected to Fall steadily over the next 25 years.
To:
Life expectancy men: 73.0 (72.0 - born in Greenland)
expectancy women: 77.6 (77.3 - born in Greenland)

wanderings

Number year: 10 (2003,2004,2005,2006,2007,2008,2009,2010,2011,2012)
Number of immigrants in total: 22240: Men: 12154: Women: 10086
Number emigrated total: 26313: Men: 14168: Women: 12145
Number of net migrants in total: -4073: Men: -2014: Women: -2059
Number of net migrants per year: -407: Men: -201 : Women: -206

2015

Assumptions
Fertility

Total fertility rate: 2,091 (2,120 for women born in Greenland)
The total fertility rate is expected to fall to 1,998 (2,024 for women born in Greenland) over 10 years, then the level Assumed to remain constant.

Mortality Mortality is calculated based on experience in the following years: 2010,2011,2012,2013,2014
expectancy men: 69.07 (67.83 - born in Greenland)
expectancy women: 74.23 (72.97 - born in Greenland)
Mortality Level is expected to Fall steadily over the next 25 years.
To:
Life expectancy men: 74.23 (72.97 - born in Greenland)
expectancy women: 78.23 (78.02 - born in Greenland)

wanderings

Number year:10 (2005,2006,2007,2008,2009,2010,2011,2012,2013,2014)

2015

Population:
Number of immigrants in total:23601:Men:13184:Women:10417
Number of emmigrants in total:28147:Men:15463:Women:12684
Number of netmigrants in total:-4546:Men:-2279:Women:-2267
Average nettoindvandrede pr år:-454,60:Mænd:-227,90:Kvinder:-226,70

2015

Født i Grønland:
Antal indvandrede ialt:9424:Mænd:4480:Kvinder:4944
Antal udvandrede ialt:13755:Mænd:6553:Kvinder:7202
Antal nettoindvandrede ialt:-4331:Mænd:-2073:Kvinder:-2258
Gennemsnitligt antal nettoindvandrede pr år:-433,10:Mænd:-207,30:Kvinder:-225,80

2016

Assumptions
Fertility

2016

Total fertility rate: 2,064 (2,108 for women born in Greenland)
The total fertility rate is expected to rise to 2,133 (2,178 for women born in Greenland) over 10 years, then the level Assumed to remain constant.

2016

Dødelighed
Dødelighed beregnes udfra erfaringer i følgende år:

2016

Mortality Mortality is calculated based on experience in the following years: 2011,2012,2013,2014,2015

2016

Life expectancy men: 69.80 (68.66 - born in Greenland)
Life expectancy women: 74.18 (73.77 - born in Greenland)

2016

Mortality Level is expected to fall steadily over the next 25 years.
To:
Life expectancy men: 74.78 (73.71 - born in Greenland)
Life expectancy women: 78.77 (78.42 - born in Greenland)

2016

Migrations

2016

Number of years:10 (2006,2007,2008,2009,2010,2011,2012,2013,2014,2015)

2016

All population:
Number of immigrants in total:23273:Men:12978:Women:10295
Number of emmigrants in total:27876:Men:15155:Women:12721
Number of netmigrants in total:-4603:Men:-2177:Women:-2426
Average annual netmigrants:-460,30:Men:-217,70:Women:-242,60

2016

Born in Greenland:
Number of immigrants in total:9671:Men:4613:Women:5058
Number of emmigrants in total:14069:Men:6574:Women:7395
Number of netmigrants in total:-4398:Men:-2061:Women:-2337
Average annual netmigrants:-439,80:Men:-206,10:Women:-233,70

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